The News - According to Travellin Bob
I’m a bit of a news junkie really. I can happily spend hours reading the BBC
website, mainly the Sport section but also the News, as well as the Guardian
and Independent sites, and comparing notes……that way you get a more rounded
view of what’s going on, and the various prejudices from the individual hacks
writing the pieces tend to cancel each other out. I watch BBC World News a lot too – in many
places I’ve been to it’s been my only English language tv station – and CNN
from time to time (although it tends to be a bit too US-slanted for my taste,
and in Mark McKay has probably the most irritating sports presenter in
television history). I know, I’m a sad
bastard really…..
The other thing I enjoy is the Comments sections that
frequently follow news items or blogs, and I’m continuously amazed at what
people say. Yahoo News is the worst
offender – their reports tend to be badly written and essentially distilled
from other sources like Reuters, AP or other news sites and papers: very little
is original content. But the
comments! Nowhere have I seen such an
outpouring of ill-educated, semi-literate and xenophobic nonsense gathered
together in one place! No matter what
the story (I use the term in its loosest sense) the Comments are bound to be
flooded with anti-government abuse, racist hate-speech and pathetic attempts at
humour that fail to crack a smile. It
never ceases to amaze me.
But it’s interesting to see some of the stuff being written.
Over the past couple of days for instance:
Another day, another
banking scandal.
When all this financial crisis kicked off four years ago
with Lehmans collapsing (and it’s incredible that it was that long ago!), a
number of other banks, mainly in the US started panicking – as did the US
government and regulators. With good
reason – Lehmans nearly brought down the US economy and its aftershocks were
felt world-wide (and indeed continue to be so).
Had another bank gone belly up that would have been that, given the size
and inextricably linked nature of the global economy nowadays. All this led to a collapse in confidence in
the banking industry, whose participants – and indirectly that includes me – are
being portrayed with breathtaking inaccuracy and bile, as Evil Incarnate. The knock-on effect has been a collapse in
confidence in many economies, especially in Europe, where banks have had to be
bailed out all over the place – Allied Irish in the Republic of Ireland, RBS
and Lloyds in the UK, Dekia in Spain to name just a few. That in turn has led to Ireland calling for
an EU bail-out to avoid a national bankruptcy, Greece struggling for three
years to avoid doing likewise, and Spain, Portugal, and Italy all waging their
own battles. Even Germany and France,
the powerhouse economies in the EU, are struggling. It’s a sorry state of affairs, not helped by politicians,
of every flavour, whose main commonality is a breathtaking lack of knowledge
and experience in a banking industry that they seem hell-bent on destroying,
being unable to reach any kind of a consensus on what needs to be done to sort
out the mess.
I’ve posted a few columns on here previously, defending
bankers, and I make no apology for that now.
I completely agree that there are a great many people employed by banks
who are motivated solely by greed, and whose actions have been indefensible,
frequently encouraged by a prevailing culture, particularly in investment
banking, that profitability is everything and will be hugely rewarded. But the vast majority of bankers – whether at
an executive level or behind the counter of your local branch – are pleasant
and honest people, dedicated to providing a good and risk-free service to their
customers, and to earn a reasonable wage to keep their families in food,
clothes and housing. So there has been a
lot of completely unjust criticism leveled over the past years, and it shows no
sign of abating.
Which brings me finally round to the story behind this subtitle.
One of the US banks that needed help when the shit hit the
fan was an outfit called Bear Stearns.
They were an old firm, leading players in the major government bond
markets in the US and elsewhere, and especially in the mortgage bond markets
that were at the root of the Lehmans demise.
They were also criminally negligent, greedy, and liars. I worked in their London office for a few
years, back in the 90s, and I can safely say it was the most unpleasant three
years of my working life, so the news that broke this week does not surprise me
in the least. There were people there at
that time who would happily screw their own families to make a buck, and it was
a culture that came from the Chairman down.
When the regulators and US government realized that the company was about to do a Lehman, they also realized
that following the similar near-demise of Merrill Lynch (another massive bank –
and coincidentally former employer of mine) that was averted only by a
government sponsored take-over by Bank of America, Bear too had to be saved at
all costs to avoid the entire US banking industry (and hence economy)
collapsing. So they persuaded JP Morgan
Chase to take over Bear Stearns – which they did, over a weekend. It was clearly a rushed job, and in hindsight
perhaps not done particularly well.
Because it turned out that when JPMC bought Bear, they
saddled themselves with billions of dollars’-worth of mortgage backed
securities that were, essentially, worthless.
Toxic is probably too kind a word to describe it. It also became clear that there was a lot
more of it around that Bear had managed to sell to its customers and other
financial institutions, by misrepresenting the value and quality of the
securities in question, and the supporting mortgage assets. Let’s be honest here – by lying about the
things.
And now, years later, it’s all come home to roost as the New
York DA has filed a suit against JPMC for in excess of USD20billion in
damages. Now I feel very sorry for JPMC
here – the crimes, when proven (as I’m sure they will be, should it actually
get to court) were committed by people working for a company that essentially no
longer exists as an independent entity, and who quite possibly are no longer
employed by JPMC or anyone else in the industry. And yet the blame, and of course vitriol in
the blogs and comment sections, is being heaped squarely upon JPMC’s corporate shoulders. In an ideal world, JPMC would not have
touched Bear with a barge pole – it’s hard to think of two banking
organizations more polar opposite than those two – and would therefore not have
become embroiled in this business at all.
The government and authorities who now seem intent on prosecuting them
brokered the entire merger, and it seems to me hypocritical in the extreme to
pursue this case.
But pursue it they will, until an out of court settlement is
somehow brokered – but whatever happens, JPMC will always be guilty in the
Court of Public Opinion.
A Business Bank –
just don’t let the Civil Servants run it!
And now today, the Right Honourable Vince Cable, the
Business Secretary in the UK Coalition government, announced at his Liberal
Democrat Party Conference that the government is to invest a billion pounds
into a “business bank” to provide capital for new businesses, and hopes that a
similar amount will come from private investment. He
says this is being done because businesses are finding it increasingly
difficult to obtain capital from high street banks – which, given the amount of
criticism that he and other politicians have been heaping upon them for the
last few years is hardly surprising – so they need an additional source of
funding. Now in the old days, this
additional source would have been – the investment banks. Or the stock markets. Or venture capitalists. In fact, the very lenders who are now being pilloried
and threatened with being regulated out of existence
You see my point, I hope.
This constant ill-informed criticism of the financial services industry has
made all of these traditional “additional sources” highly unpopular and
seemingly untrustworthy lenders, even though they generally are not. It seems that start-ups are now less than
willing to go to such sources for their capital requirements, and conversely
high street banks are less than willing to risk making an investment in a
start-up company.
It seems to me that we have now reached the point where
Cable (and he has been consistently one of the most vociferous complainants in
the anti-banker lobby) and other politicians should actually shut up. Their criticism has made the lending business
grind to a halt (the very thing they have been demanding for months should not
be allowed to happen), and starting a business bank is an expensive and
unnecessary course of action. The government
would be far better employed in helping re-build public confidence in the
existing banking industry, and ceasing this constant carping would be a good
start. But I’m not going to hold my
breath waiting for that to happen – politicians, generally speaking, seem more
concerned with saying the right thing to please their constituents and retain
their seat in Parliament than being seen to do the right thing. The Court of Public Opinion would much rather
see and hear criticism, no matter how ridiculous, of banking (or whatever
happens to be the current pantomime villain) than see and hear praise or
conciliatory actions. As would news
editors – it makes for far better copy.
The other issue with this business bank idea, it seems to
me, is that as a government-sponsored bank it would presumably be run by civil
servants – or at least civil servants would hold senior positions in it. If that were not the case, then it would be
just another bank, after all – and hence should be subject to all the problems
that go with that status. From a
political point of view, God forbid that should be the case! Frankly, after the third news story, that is
the last thing I would want.
Over the past year or so, there have been a number of rail
franchises up for renewal in the UK. The
most lucrative is the West Coast Mainline, run for the past several years (with
increasing success and profitability) by Virgin Trains. Recently, the bid process ended and the
Department of Transport, in its infinite wisdom, handed the franchise to FirstGroup,
a combined road and rail operator, effective December this year. Virgin immediately lodged a protest and
insisted that the numbers in FirstGroup’s bid didn’t add up – there was no way,
said Virgin, that FG could spend as much cash on new trains and infrastructure and
give as many cheap tickets without losing money hand over fist and compromising
passenger satisfaction (and as a worst case go bust and require government
rescue). Sour grapes, yelled the Court of Public
Opinion, you’re only saying that because you lost. Rubbish, said the Minister of Transport (since
replaced in a Cabinet re-shuffle), the bidding process was completely fair and
above board and we awarded the contract to the company best able to provide
value for money and quality service.
Undeterred, Virgin obtained an injunction preventing the handover until
the bidding process had been reviewed again.
Today their action was totally justified, as the new
Transport Secretary scrapped the entire bidding process and contract, returning
operations of the line to Virgin. He
cited serious errors made by the DoT in coming to their decision in favour of
FG, suspended four civil servants directly involved in the process, stated
clearly that there was no blame attached to any of the bidders (including
Virgin and FG – there were two other losers) and that the cock up was entirely
the Department’s fault. He also stated
that a total of GBP40million would be refunded to the bidders to cover the
costs of their bid submissions.
Let’s leave aside the question of how each bidder could
spend an average of ten million quid preparing a document stating how they
would run a railway line and make money as well as providing a good service (I
can only assume that the likes of Deloitte’s and Accenture or other consulting
firms were involved, and the bulk of these costs cover their fees). Let’s also leave out the astonishing
appearance of an apparently honest politician (not a hint of cover-up or trying
to blame someone else here). The issue
I have is that it seems CIVIL SERVANTS got their sums wrong, and made
completely the wrong decisions – and these are the sort of people Mr. Cable is
presumably considering should be responsible for running a business bank,
lending money.
You couldn’t make it up, could you?
I’ll sue you! No, I’ll sue you!!
Finally, we have the continuing Phone Wars: Apple versus Samsung (and anyone else who
dares produce a roughly rectangular smart-phone that includes a touchscreen
user interface). This story is truly
ridiculous, and again has been running a few years now.
Apple started it with their iPhone. A game changer if ever there was one, and an
idea that has taken the world by storm and changed the way we look at mobile
phones for ever. It was innovative and
looked lovely, even if the first model was a bit clunky and unreliable. The second was better, but initially had
signal problems because of the way the aerial was positioned – Apple fixed it
quickly, and successive releases have built on that design, adding new bits and
pieces, and tweaking things here and there.
Being Apple, they of course charge a ludicrous price for it, and also
being Apple (and hence uber-cool) everyone buys the things by the ton. Incidentally, can someone explain to me how
the new iPhone 5 can have an entry level model in the US priced at USD199,
whereas in Malta recently I saw an old 4S (the preceding and now outdated and
replaced model) was on offer at one store at a “reduced price” of EUR 499 – by my
reckonings three times the American price – and you’re not even getting an
up-to-date spec!
But since the phone’s introduction, other companies have come
up with their own smartphones, and a lot of them are much better than the
iPhone. HTC, Nokia and (especially)
Samsung with its Galaxy range have all come up with devices that look better,
work better and often have much better functionality than the iPhone, which now
looks boring and dated. The screen is
smaller, it looks less attractive and chunky, the picture quality seems less
good than the others….the list of differences is long and getting longer by the
release. Apple’s response, rather than
working hard to innovate and come up with something new and fresh to blow the
opposition away as they did previously, has been to throw millions of bucks at
the legal professions and launch lawsuit after lawsuit, alleging theft of
intellectual property rights, patent infringements and God knows what
else. Samsung (Apple’s main target) has
predictably responded by counter-suing on the same grounds.
The results are interesting.
Whenever the case is heard in America, and in particular Apple’s own
California back yard, they win the case – most recently a billion dollars was
awarded against Samsung and a range of Samsung devices (mostly outdated and
replaced anyway) banned from sale in the US.
Yet when the case is elsewhere (and they are going on all over the world
– Europe, the Far East, Australia to name but three locations) then Apple tend
to lose. No-one seems to be winning
outright, and sales seem unaffected. The
new I5 is the fastest selling new phone ever, but Samsung is still selling more
phones globally than anyone else – unsurprisingly, because its flagship Galaxy
S3 is a bloody fantastic piece of klt.
It all seems ridiculous to me. How can you accuse someone of copying the
shape of your phone and complaining its rounded rectangle breaches
copyright? Sorry, but for the most
comfortable and efficient use a rectangle is the best shape to have and there
are only so many ways of changing it. To
me, it’s like Adidas suing Umbro because the latter’s new football is round –
well, yes, balls generally are. Other
complaints are concerned with way data is transmitted wirelessly – Apple say
everyone else is copying them. Analogy:
Adidas complaining that Umbro’s valves (for pumping the ball up) is the same
shape as theirs. Touchscreen
interface? OK, tell me how else you can
use of them without using your finger to swipe across the screen and activate
something.
Crazy, absolutely crazy.
The only people happy about the
situation are the lawyers, who are creaming off huge fees from all the
participants – costs that are no doubt being passed along to the consumers, you
and I. And to what end? Apple fanboys will still stupidly queue round
the block for a week to get their grubby little mitts on the latest release, no
matter how crappy it is…..because it’s an Apple, dude! The rest of us (dare I say the more sensible punters?) will
probably look at a number of alternatives and buy the one we think best – be it
a Galaxy S3, the HTC One (almost as good), or the Nokia Lumia 900 with its
Windows 8 operating system. Or something
else entirely – Blackberry perhaps, or the new Motorola Razr that looks pretty sexy.
I’ll be interested to see what happens next after last week’s
classic Apple fuck up (undoubtedly their worst ever). The new iPhone 5 dropped Google Maps entirely
from its range of pre-installed apps, and replaced it with its own version,
Apple Maps. The trouble is it doesn’t
work. Users have bombarded the company
with complaints because the maps are totally inaccurate and hence useless. There have been reported errors like the
London Eye being relocated to the Welsh coast, and Stonehenge to the centre of
Edinburgh. This all forced Paul Cook,
the Blessed Jobs’ replacement as CEO, to issue a statement of apology in which
he blamed software glitches (no, really?) and recommended that people use “alternatives
like Google and Nokia Maps instead”. Say
what you like about him, but Jobs would never in a million years have allowed
something that serious and stupid to have happened.
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